AWA argument #49
Posted by missionmba on June 2, 2007
“The owners of the Cumquat Café evidently made a good business decision in moving to a new location, as can be seen from the fact that the Café will soon celebrate its second anniversary there. Moreover, it appears that businesses are not likely to succeed at the old location: since the Café’s move, three different businesses—a tanning salon, an antique emporium, and a pet-grooming shop—have occupied its former spot.”
The author believes that the owners of Comquat café made a good decision in moving to a new location as the café is about to celebrate its second anniversary there and three different businesses have occupied its former location after the café moved. Though at a first glance, the argument looks sound, but a careful analysis reveals that the argument rests on questionable assumptions and weak premises.
First, the author assumes that just because the café celebrated its second anniversary at the new location, we can conclude that the café is doing well. However, he does not provide any evidence for the same. It’s possible that the sales at café have dropped significantly after moving to the new location, but the owners have to continue there due to personal reasons. If this is not the case, the author must provide evidence that the sales and profits are soaring at the new location.
Second questionable assumption that the author makes is that the role of a business location is the same for all kind of businesses. The tanning salon, antique emporium and the pet-grooming shop may have failed, because the people there may not be interested in these. However this provides us with little reason to conclude that they would not be interested in the café as well. To augment this evidence, the author must additionally provide that when owners of Cumquat decided to move, the café too was not actually doing well.
Finally, it’s unfair to rest the blame for the failure of the mentioned businesses solely on the location. The owners may be poor managers; the market-demand may have changed; there can be several other reasons for the businesses to close. In fact, we’re not even told that the mentioned businesses closed because they were not doing well. They too may have moved for purely non-financial reasons, even if they were making good profits.
To sum, the author’s argument is unconvincing due to the weaknesses discussed above. The author could’ve strengthened his stand by giving evidence of Cumquat doing well at the new location and by showing that the profits for Cumquat and other businesses were falling and location was the only factor responsible for the same. Without this evidence, the argument fails to impress the reader.
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